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Thread: Quantify. Don S

  1. #16
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    You are, of course, missing the point. Mine was that I anticipated the downturn and wanted to hedge before it occurred. Do you understand the difference? And, of course, you are also completely wrong when you state, "I didn't lose a dime because I didn't sell." What a naive way to look at things. When you're winning $1,000 during a session, do you now consider that's "house money" and not really yours until you cash in? If you lose it back, did you not really lose anything? If you get a month-end statement that says your account is worth $100,000 at the end of July but $50,000 at the end of August, do you really consider that you didn't lose anything? Shame on you for thinking that way.

    Don

    Excellent post. I've been sitting on the sidelines since the Dow hit 20k waiting to get back in. Spinning Wheel lyrics What goes up Must come down.

    So Don, do think there has been just a wee bit of irrational exuberance during this unparalleled market run to the upside?

    Drunk writes:
    if you can anticipate downturns you are better than me - I can't - and I don't doubt that others are better at this than me - but I also believe a great many have made the wrong
    call

    It's not a matter of anticipating. It IS a matter of putting yourself in a position to take advantage of the downturns. History proves they WILL happen. The worst feeling in the world is being fully invested in a market free fall. So the question is, how long can you hang in before you panic. Histoy proves NOT long for most. When everyone else is running out, you've got to have the wherewithal to run in.
    Last edited by Moses; August 6th, 2019 at 01:05 PM.

  2. #17
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    Don S writes to Xengrifter:


    Just try harder “not” to lose. Utter horse shit.


    Don, Don, wait- hold it. I've got one more. DON. What are you thinking? Are you saying we shouldn't read and try to comprehend 3 volumes of your books?


    All we really need to do is move to Vegas, learn HiLO, acquire a pile of money, turn into a gay child molester, and we all will make $100K a year. There is just one problem with that picture. Turn into KJ and you'll be taking it up the ass AT and AWAY from the tables. Of course, there would be little need for forums and no need for all these damn books. Don't practice. Don't improve. Just show up and leave you're money? You'll get it all back and more in the long run. Shrewd.


    How about for your next book you simply write “individual players should stay the hell away from shoes.” PERIOD! The rest is utter horse shit. Or “losers can't endure the manure.” Author Mr. Ed


    THE END
    If you goal is really to make casinos suffer, that should do it. No?
    Last edited by Moses; August 28th, 2019 at 05:19 PM.

  3. #18
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    Don S writes:

    You're not interpreting the index correctly. When you see zero for 12 v. 4, it means STAND if the TC>=0. If you must express it as when to hit, then it's hit if TC<0.

    Don

    Don, if I'm running a CV DATA sim based on the Running Count. I would stand on 12v4 at 0,1,2 ect. and Hit 12v4 at -1,-2,-3. But if I'm running a CV Data Sim based on True count, I'm stand at TC 0, but hitting at TC -1. Therefore, the actual running count index would fluctuate considerably. Correct?

    Maybe someone can confirm with an email.

  4. #19
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    Default You said it All

    Don S writes. The problem is people do not know what is valuable and what is not. This is true in life.

    Excellent qoute.This should go on your next book cover or a placque under your picture. In life, most people do not understand how money works. Few view it as a tool - combined with time - to make more money with less time invested.

    In blackjack, few understand the difference between an advantage which is of high value and a threshold which has little value. Forums are notorious for pages upon pages of threshold talk which confuses the understanding even more. But the gem's of any real value are few and far between.
    Last edited by Moses; October 1st, 2019 at 03:02 PM.

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