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Thread: Create confusion to confound the understanding. Why?

  1. #1
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    Default Create confusion to confound the understanding. Why?

    It seems the goal of some blackjack forums is to never find resolution. So the chatter and clatter goes on with no end insight. It appears they are now reaching for topics to discuss and old methods that haven't been productive for years because the game has changed considerably.

    The basis, or Bible if you will, comes from a complex book written in the 70's by someone who could never respond after his passing. Thus mountains of conjecture have been created to say the least. But the one line I remember from his book is Good Engineers understand complex equations. Great engineers can make them simple again.

    Blackjack is somewhat like life. You have what is important and what is not. You'd want or should know what's been played and thus you'd also know what is left.

    There are primarily two simple options that covers 98% of the results. Instead of 28. If you believe in EoR then Wong Halves comes as close to ancient methods as you can get. If keeeping it simple with streamlined productivity is the goal, then simply give the tag value of the 2 in Wong Halves to the 7. In pitch games, the SCORE is quite a bit higher with the simpler count.

    Most everyone agrees the 8 is of 0 tag value. But what about the two? It takes you or the dealer to a stop at 15 16. Otherwise, it's just a card that adjusts the count. The 5 takes you or the dealer to a stop at 12,13,14,15,16, thus it's the highest EoR card in the deck. The 7 and 3 offer 3 stops from 14. The 6 offers 4 stops from 12. The 4 offers 4 stops from 13.

    Sidecounting the Ace is important in the single and double deck games. But you do it on your fingers as opposed to a mental count in your mind. This will free up space to see other opportunities. Let the game come to you. Calculating on the fly in the heat of the game to determine how much or when to bet is not practical. You will see your opportunites coming 1 or 2 hands in advance and the amount is predetermined what is played and what still remains. The most lucrative point of side counting the Ace is on larger bets for the purpose of insurance . Why? Because you are insuring more money on the table.

    Why in world AP's continue to guess when they can determine exact with relatively the same amount of brainpower has also been perplexing to me. So they come up with more terms to create more discussion and more confusion and more ridicule. Most of that talk has little impact on the ultimate success or failure of your game. The count, your bet, your next move is what determines the financial rewards. Knowing what's been played and still remains is the freeway to your destination. Dirt roads and the old two lane highways come with too many obstacles.
    Last edited by Moses; April 20th, 2018 at 09:55 AM.

  2. #2
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    Default How do I get being cheated out of my head

    A baseball pitcher said the biggest adjustment to pitching in the majors in you have to get used to losing. Even the best teams of all time still lost 40% of their games.

    This is a viable concern, not just in blackjack, but in life. The EV can be devestating if fooled in either.

    Game selection is your key. Game improvement is vital...and that doesn't come without work. In short, "if you can't beat Verite in the peace of your home, how do you expect to take a big piece from a casino that is designed to stop you"?

    Hmmm, the guy that is 10 times greater counter than most will ever be? Yet knows very little about game selection, work ethic, and deck composition. The bigger question to ask yourself "is this game fair." If not, then walking away makes you a winner because playing it makes you lose. Then you have to find a fair game to play, and win, just to break even.

    These lifelong playing theories are BULL. It's about YOU, and what is within your control. Take it one session at a time. Win 60% of your sessions. Winning just under the upside of casino tolerance and leaving just below the downside of your tolerance which equals the casino upside. Some of these forums have put far too much shit in your head.
    Last edited by Moses; Yesterday at 04:16 AM.

  3. #3
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    Variance is biting me this month. Last month, I won 15 of 17 sessions and I won $8k+, Last three sessions, lost $1100, $1120 and $1570. Hope the losing stops soon.

    Zee writes ^:

    Moses replies: What is wrong with this picture? Winning 15 out of 17 sessions just under the edge of casino tolerance is extremely rare and just asking for the escort to the Exit sign. Then he gave nearly 1/2 of it back in just 3 sessions. Clearly, he has never learned the art of ducking. Hope isn't the answer. Doing something about it IS the answer.

    This month is half over. So Zee has only played 20 sessions over the course of 6 weeks. Also, cost of travel is not mentioned. But considering the distance between casino you could probably factor in $1000 expense.

    Last edited by Moses; Yesterday at 10:08 AM.

  4. #4
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    Disagree. If you’re playing $800/hand, then you’re going it get backed off regardless, rated or unrated; it’s just a matter of time. So if you go in and play rated, you might only get 1 hr of play before getting tapped. But if you play unrated, you may get more time. Maybe 10 hrs... who knows? In that event, would getting a comped cheese burger be worth sacrificing that 9 hrs of play?

    Example: I had one place I was playing earlier this year. I was pretty aggressive with them, betting 1x25 to 2x500, which was table max on all their tables except for two. If I could get a seat on their $1,000 max table (it was sometimes closed), I was spreading 1x25 to 2x700. I lasted 3 trips there and got a total of 21.5 hrs of play. When I finally got backed off and had to CTR to cash out (because I stockpiled their chips and rarely cashed out), they updated my OSN profile. So obviously, this casino is an observer and contributor. If I would have started off playing rated, it’s very possible I would have been backed off within my first hour, because all they would have had to do is search my name.

    Ryemo the great writes ^:

    Moses replies: Maybe twice in my life I've witnessed a player betting pinks or higher. Both came out losers. But yes, definately had everyones attention...including the criminals.

    Famous Bonnie and Clyde qoute, "they hate us but they can't stop us." Ahem, how did that movie end again?

    Is goes without saying Ryemo is the only one playing in that casino with such a large spread. He wouldn't have lasted 21.5 if he was kicking their ass. So, a little old guy walks by and sees the enormous amount of chips on the table. Maybe even watches awhile. HE appears harmless. But it's who he informs that is not harmless. Perhaps a few people gather to watch this Rock Star because they haven't seen anyone play at those stakes before. The casino owes Ryemo nothing outside the casino doors. He is a stranger with no ID.

    Let's say he averaged $100 an hour. That's $2,150 over 3 trips minus travel costs for each trip. The family left behind still has to eat. Perfect example of the mantra "bet alot, ride the waves of variance, to make a little." He has already said that once caught, one is flyered all over town and even the state.

    Now, for all you who admire him so much. You go into play and now the casino has changed the rules, reduced pen, and put a strong clamp on bet spreads. Hooray! Horray! I'm now playing more and getting less. Bonnie and Clyde personified.
    Last edited by Moses; Yesterday at 11:09 AM.

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