Originally Posted by

**Parpaluck**
Doitser:

There was **a real “flaw” here that saddened me**.

That’s a really bad flaw, Doitser… on your part!

· The *BJ natural* is calculated **exactly** for the first 2 cards.

In the case of *arrangements*, the first 2-card possibilities in a total of 13 cards amount to: **A(13, 2) = 13 * 12 = 156**. There are **8** *BJ naturals* generated by that modified card deck. (Strangely enough, you did figure out correctly the number of naturals to be exactly 8.) Thusly, the (only) correct percentage is: **8 / 156 = 0.051282**… approximately **5.13%**.

Actually, the correct conclusion is:*“*…**sequences are all equally likely to occur--are flawed, too**.” Say, what??? Like a God of BJ decides that some sequences are not acceptable, although they are mathematically possible?!

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