
Originally Posted by
Parpaluck
Doitser:
There was a real “flaw” here that saddened me.
That’s a really bad flaw, Doitser… on your part!
· The BJ natural is calculated exactly for the first 2 cards.
In the case of arrangements, the first 2-card possibilities in a total of 13 cards amount to: A(13, 2) = 13 * 12 = 156. There are 8 BJ naturals generated by that modified card deck. (Strangely enough, you did figure out correctly the number of naturals to be exactly 8.) Thusly, the (only) correct percentage is: 8 / 156 = 0.051282… approximately 5.13%.
Actually, the correct conclusion is:“…sequences are all equally likely to occur--are flawed, too.” Say, what??? Like a God of BJ decides that some sequences are not acceptable, although they are mathematically possible?!
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